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Yes, should be 2% chance according to the wiki
This normally leads to the choices for the 4 regular covenants.
"When a covenant is offered there is a 2% chance that a far more powerful patron called the End of the Cycle will appear."
"When attempting to enter the shroud the empire will be given the option to pay 2000 Energy and 500 Zro. The patron can be chosen, except for End of the Cycle."
And this:
"The option to form a Covenant may randomly appear as part of Shroud visions. The patron is chosen based on its preferences."
I assumed it was referring to the latter option, since the former explicitly excludes End of the Cycle. Am I wrong?
The chance should be 2% if the covenant is being offered - probably only on the first visit.
You then posted that you only got the actual Shroud interactions, which means you either have a covenant already or haven't figured out how to contact the covenants.