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The positive outcome happens 90% of the time. If it's worth the risk is your decision, but personally I always take the special project if the deposit is nearby.
Thank you for your help :)
If you crack the egg, you usually destroy the creature and get a permanent science bonus on the remnants of the egg, but there's a small chance of a giant extradimensional creature that destroys the science ship and then disappears through a portal.
There's also an event where an inhabitable planet is an egg that hatches and destroys your colony, with similar outcomes except that you can't prevent it as far as I know.
Just did it and got the worst outcome, good thing i swapped to a bad scientist...