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First, Caviar is the only real flavor of the bunch and it is mentioned multiple times online; IIRC it said Guy didn’t really try more ideas after the Fancy flavors failed. None of the others are ever mentioned in comparison, even though most of them are more normal and would probably have done ok - and I believe Strawberry is actually one of the new flavors introduced by Carl later, come to think of it, so Strawberry already being there doesn’t make sense. The Chinese factory also just redistributes the candy, so making an exclusive flavor for it would be odd. Second, continuing research at a flat $10k/month cost for every new flavor individually for years and years would be pretty weird - and now that I’m typing it, I think this monthly payment aspect is what made me go “oh, they’re child support”. Third, Sugarplum being arbitrarily x2 the cost of the other flavors makes it being research less likely and lines up exactly with it being the payment for twins. That being said, I also 100% missed the initials aspect and only went over the years each payment started when figuring out who Anonymom could be.
Regarding the certainty of parentage… I did struggle a little over what the game wanted given the wording, but ultimately came to apparently correct conclusion that being unsure was for things that were for difficult to test (so Elias’s child who had already died). After thinking over it I felt confident enough with most of the kids - there was not any other possible father, the other possibility was very sure it couldn’t be them, or both parents openly knew who the father was but chose to hide it from the kid. Flavio was the one that I felt kinda unsure over - there’s the stuff about his mom being distant from her husband but that doesn’t make it impossible - but I decided that the game probably expected consistency on picking “yes”.
I guess the other important thing to bring up though is that I got all the Smoking Guns before I submitted the answer. When you can say “I know everything the game expects me to know”, it’s a lot easier to feel confident about your answers.
Just to clarify, I did unlock all of the smoking gun entries on the dossiers and the achievement activated, I just didn't realize the big implication of the payment entries, I thought the smoking gun was referring to the mother's employments or related activities in the company records
1) the list of reminders about the stuff revealed in the base game emphasized the fact that the 5Piece flavors were named following the kids' first initials. Why remind me of that, specifically, if it's not going to be relevant in some way?
And 2) the flavors included one that started with an X, and one of the potential affairs has a name that starts with X. That seemed like the biggest clue to sit up and pay attention, especially once I started looking over the other initials that matched.
Sisely even clues you in; Guy wanted to be exactly like Elias, to the extent that he started wearing similar colour schemes (Green) and clothing, plus presenting himself as a family man.
Ergo, what did Elias do that he was famous for? 5 pieces, with each named after his kids. Therefore, what would Guy do to hide his kids? Duh!
The problem is, I didn't even register this until way after I finished the game, and as a result I completely missed it until it was revealed to me. In hindsight, it's so obvious I feel annoyed for missing it.
Personally I just immediately dismissed the flavor research the first time as being irrelevant, and never bothered to look at it again as a result - never occurred to me that it could be relevant, even when I was looking through the books again to figure out why this page was a smoking gun.
Plus, I think it would have changed little for me anyway (except maybe the case of Xinyu). Most of these people I knew had been receiving/had received money from Guy. The flavor research wouldn't have told me anything new. Guy wanted to hush them up, sure, but to me that didn't prove that the children were his.
You are right about what the game wanted us to do in terms of confidence in guessing the certainty of parentage. The ending made that clear. I was much more conservative in making my claims, though. I think only Anonymom's daughter and Christine's older son I entered as definite yeses? And the others I said "impossible to prove" (bar DNA testing of course). In many cases it seemed like the child could quite possibly have come from an affair, but there was no certainty of it - hush money could have just been from the affair and there was usually no real proof that somebody else couldn't have been the father (especially in the case of Mark Clementine). It did feel like the game expected me to be more certain in these cases than I was, or could be with the evidence I had. Which wouldn't have been such a problem if I just had to enter "yes/no" for each person. But with "can't prove it" as an option... that was a bit of an issue personally.
There were two other major hangups I had that made me misfire at the end. First, the way everything was written about Lang Xinyu's IVF procedure and her nephew led me to assume that he was indeed the product of the IVF and thus her trip to the States had been perfectly legitimate. Her sister/brother-in-law's interview didn't make it at all clear that they had their son normally. That led me astray in the case of Lucy, as it made me think she couldn't be a blood relative - since if Xinyu actually did the IVF, that would have left no opportunity for Guy to be responsible for the second pregnancy. Here's where the hush money payment could have made the difference, though as I mentioned earlier to me it was not definitive proof of parentage.
Second, I didn't like the way the case of Ron Roottree was presented. With the smoking guns listed, the game obviously was trying to suggest that he was Gwynn's co-star's child. But to me it needed extra details to corroborate this! There was never any hint that she had a child. Or that Ron was not Gwynn's biological child. The ONLY hint was the Huntington's, and to me that was confusing as yeah, it covered how it's passed from parents to children and can't skip a generation... but then where did it come from? Has literally everybody in that line of the family had Huntington's for generations? To me that didn't seem as likely as it just newly manifesting in some family lines sometimes, so I didn't see it as definitive proof. Without any further evidence that he wasn't Gwynn's child, I left him as confirmed.
Most of the time with the base game, it made sense to guess at some of the more obscure details to fill out the family tree. But with these endgame verification steps the game thought I should be content with less proof than I was, so that was a little disatisfying. Certainly didn't ruin the entire experience though, and on the whole trying to figure this whole tangled mess out was a highly engaging time.
i think a better approach would have been asking us to rule out plausible roottrees without needing to guess between yeses and maybes.
also i missed how you find out about ron roottree's huntington's, and evidence he wasn't gwynn's. where did those come up?
Agreed.
This certainly indicates that conclusion. But to me at least, we can't actually prove anything with it. That's my hangup with this whole section.