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But since it's different, PoE2 has much simpler crafting system and gear drops matter more there, its generally slower pace, while PoE1 has its complex crafting system that makes items better than anything you could drop and has faster pace, both games will have good playerbase, while current PoE1 playerbase will play both games a lot because how they going to release new leagues(seasons).
Most of people play PoE1 leagues for around 1-1.5months while leagues last 3-4months (except last one), they will release new league of PoE2 in middle of league of PoE1 when most people already drop it, and it will cycle.
Ok, cool that mostly answers my questions, thanks mate.
I expect people will play PoE2 for 4-6 weeks.
A usual league starts dying down around 3-4 weeks.
It's a fresh game with a lot to discover, but still has less end game content than PoE1 to keep people busy.
PoE1 league comes out in late January which will pull them back too.
GGG have never presented the game as a cluster f**k bullet hell. Even their PoE1 gameplay in the past was slow paced like you're playing DnD.
The crafting is simpler because they are consolidating the 75 league mechanics that you needed to know about in PoE1, otherwise it's kinda the same.
I have 4500h in Poe , next league will be out in like late Feb and in Feb there are a lot of games that I'm interested in ,Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth,KCD2 , Monster hunter wilds
From the looks of it Poe2 will not be 100% as fast as Poe1 and some people like the fast gameplay that Poe1 has , I don't really mind either way, I'm not as fast as the top players
If a Poe1 league mechanics looks cool and interesting I might still play
In PoE2 there's much less movespeed scaling from what i saw. i played 300% ms cyclone in PoE1, you literally moving at lightspeed while using cyclone at same time, so fast it can cause vertigo lol, its not happening in PoE2.
It will probably keep having a loyal playerbase
PoE 2 will make changes
While most will appreciate these changes I think, there will probably be those who will despise them and prefer the old way
Get ready for "PoE 2 is casual garbage game" kind of posts
That's my prediction anyway
Especially if they have different challenge rewards in each. Can earn cosmetics in one game to use in the other.