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Anyway this is my calculation, in summary including all free tickets the game giving out this patch, you will get to roll at least 83 times in this patch as F2P player, not 100% accurate in reality you will get more rolls out of this patch.
I calculated this based on 30 days
-Seasonal task(two times a month if not mistaken, 720 per season = 1440 gems per month)
-Weeklies(490 gems per week = 1960 per month)
-Daily task 30 days (1500)
-Daily checkin bonus (100 + 1 permanent character banner(I will use "perm." from now on) tickets and 1 perm. weapon ticket)
-Event task rewards (just combine all, and don't forget 24 waves mode rewards is already reset once, I got 910)
-Event shop(5 character tickets)
-New story (690)
-Check-in event tickets(10 character tickets and 10 weapon tickets)
-Battlepass free tier(5 perm. tickets)
-Gigalink (4 perm. tickets per month)
-Labyrinth event (200 + 5 weapon tickets)
-New characters trial(40)
= Equal to about 13400 gems in value for this patch.
So instead of going by feelings, I'll let this number inform anyone by itself. I personally think it's very fair, it's just some of rolls are for other banners, not the character alone.
I don't see it as downside, since this allows me to have T2 Space cowboy, it's just take some time.
Important notes
1. Each patch is longer than 30 days, so weeklies, seasonal task and Gigalink will get reset +1 time during any patch, means more gems.
2. I'm also not including 20 more pulls(5 for each banners) available for you to buy from shop, reset monthly using free currency you get from pulling gacha.
3. This patch is special, we get another gold tier character for free and Dev gave away 10 more tickets for weapon, normally we only get 10 from check-in event.
83 pulls Basically enough for 1 pity or 2 if you have some leftover?
On my EU save I got Cherno after 92 pulls.
On my Asia save I got her after 125 ish pulls. Only one out of my 3 friends got her within 80 pulls but the rest of us had to pull more than 80.
I don't know if anyone pulled 160 times without getting the banner tho. But I learned you gotta need a lot of gems.
I used to play NieR before it shut down which had a super friendly gatcha and easy to gather a bunch of gems. (The only gatcha game I bothered investing in) I often got the character I wanted although this didn't always happen. My experience with snowbreak is that you gotta pull a alot and it's not easy to farm 1,600 gems for a 10 pull once you already cleared most of the chapters.
Yeah, when you think about it, consider that the first Orange is not garunteed to be the banner character and there's also the weapons banner, 83 pulls just doesn't sound like a lot anymore.
Pity system is one 5* per round, just not the feature operative/weapon. Depressing, but the gacha is basically "something's better than nothing".