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Sorry I meant Subnautica 3.
Well, the Devs seem to disagree with you (and they would probably know)...
The third installment has already been announced:
https://gamerant.com/subnautica-3-early-access-2024/
2024: Early Access - not official but 4th quarter would be a good guess
2025: Full Release - also not official, but "probably" 4th quarter as well
If there is a estimate for early access then the game is confirmed, though the exact dates may not be. The game is in production so the Devs. would agree with my that the game has been confirmed. What ever the beta. Early Access, or release date is I am still anticipating it.
"But below zero"
Below zero is a spin-off, the developers see below zero as a spin-off
I promise to throw myself into the Void as soon as possible - really. Ask my Cuttlefish.
Here is the last post (Feb 2024) from the actual Devs on Subnautica 3:
https://unknownworlds.com/en/news/an-update-about-the-next-subnautica
2024: NO Early Access is planned for release in 2024
2025: Nothing confirmed (early leaks were from their publisher, not the actual Devs)
My bad. Now, off to the Void. I heard it's very safe...