Anyone know how does the Fortune Teller mechanics work?

[Sebastian Alfonso]

Anyone know how does the Fortune Teller mechanics work?

[Zonk]

Every unit with fortune teller X has a X% chance to prevent negative events from happening in the province and predict global events (this is rolled 6 and 3 months in advance).

Note that this is rolled individually - if you have 10 units with fortune tellers 10%, EACH has a 10% (so they can all fail), it's not a total 100% chance.

[Sebastian Alfonso]

Thanks.

[Staythecourse]

Originally posted by Zonk:

Every unit with fortune teller X has a X% chance to prevent negative events from happening in the province and predict global events (this is rolled 6 and 3 months in advance).

Note that this is rolled individually - if you have 10 units with fortune tellers 10%, EACH has a 10% (so they can all fail), it's not a total 100% chance.

How do you know that exactly? I remember testing this in Dom3 with 7 Arco Sybils and saw that all bad events were blocked over a large number of turns. If rolled independently, there would still be some 30% chance of a bad event slipping through. I would be quite surprised that this got changed in Dom4.

[Zonk]

I believe it got changed since Dom3.

My Dom4 tests used MA Atlantis to get enough commanders that their individual fortune telling added up to 100% - quite easy as they have have a fortunetelling 75% pretender.

Bad events still happened, just extremely rarely.

Also, do note it tells you the specific commander that predicted the bad event - this is a hint that it's rolling individually.