No small chance to win in the casino?

[galadon3]

I get that playing the games of fortune in the casino is more a recreational activity but wouldn't a chance for winning money make it closer to the real experience?
Ofc the chances to actually win should be small, so that on average and in the long run you'll always loose money, like in a real casino.

[PokingWaterGames]

There is a chance to win and lose big at the casino, the money icon tooltip shows high volatility to indicate this. But yes on average you will lose more than you win

[galadon3]

Ahhhh ok, can you explain (or is it explained anywhere) how "volatility" works? Cause I saw only the cost of the activity and no real indication that there could be income.

[PokingWaterGames]

This might get a bit technical but the volatility is a standard deviation modifier to the base inflation-adjusted money value, using a normal distribution.

If this value is $10 for example, one plus sign of volatility = ~5% standard deviation = ~$10 x 0.05 = $0.5, which means 68% of the time you will get between $9.5 to $10.5 and 95% of the time between $9 to $11.

For gambling activities the volatility is 500% standard deviation which means 68% of the time your -$10 spending will get between -$60 to $40 (and conversely 32% of the time above or below that range).

Note this would actually be 100 plus signs for volatility in the tooltip which is ridiculous so I cut it short in the display.

[zakdoekje]

I just wanted to test out the casino. My guy gambles 1 million away😭

[galadon3]

Yea the cost seems to be tied to your networth, so if you are rich enough it gets pretty expensive.^^
My actual playthrough was a get rich without ever working a job (including doing regular work in your own buisness), so even though I am in the second generation it was considerably less but I THINK I even won on that one try.
(too much going on so the notification on top got lost but I had more money after the try, not about 100k less)^^