500k sales predicted, massive success

[GolfLover420]

According to SteamDB, the game is currently followed by 50k+ people. It is common knowledge only 10% of purchasers follow the games they buy. So that means 500k sold easily for this gem.

https://i.ibb.co/XWCZgm5/avowed.jpg

[Grimno]

Do we even know what the budget for the game is?
Only info I'm getting is around 70-80mil from a year ago but if that's true then if the game sells at least a little over 1 mil copies, then viola success.

[🍈Little Goblin🍈]

hmm..

[tintilicmaliq]

Originally posted by Xenophobe:

Originally posted by GolfLover420:

It is common knowledge only 10% of purchasers follow the games they buy.

It is? Where is this knowledge written?

It is known.

[GolfLover420]

Originally posted by Xenophobe:

Originally posted by GolfLover420:

It is common knowledge only 10% of purchasers follow the games they buy.

It is? Where is this knowledge written?

Maybe you also want to ask where it is written that the sun is hot?

[HolyGrail]

10% of 50k+ is 5k+ though?

[Moonlight Knight]

Originally posted by HolyGrail:

10% of 50k+ is 5k+ though?

Even though the hypothesis is a bit of a logical leap, it is at least mathematically sound. If only 10% of players followed games they want to buy and 50k people follow the game, that would, mathematically at least, amount to 500k.

[ginx2666]

Originally posted by Xenophobe:

Originally posted by GolfLover420:

It is common knowledge only 10% of purchasers follow the games they buy.

It is? Where is this knowledge written?

Fish entrails or it has been revealed to OP in a dream.

[The Archivist]

Same ideas were thrown around for Veilguard, and look where that ended.

[Calubob]

Tell that to Veilgaurd..

[Calubob]

Originally posted by The Archivist:

Same ideas were thrown around for Veilguard, and look where that ended.

Beat me to it

[Vixziค็็็็็n]

Originally posted by Moonlight Knight:

Originally posted by HolyGrail:

10% of 50k+ is 5k+ though?

Even though the hypothesis is a bit of a logical leap, it is at least mathematically sound. If only 10% of players followed games they want to buy and 50k people follow the game, that would, mathematically at least, amount to 500k.

No. Not only is the math not sound the analysis is even worse. I figured this had to be a troll post.

Look at Veilguard as the others have stated and that's after the fact it's already released if you compare Veilguard to other releases around the same time frame it lags way behind... and then look at something like Monster Hunter or even KCD2 which isn't even a widely popular game but are coming out soon those both we all know are slated to do much better sales wise and they have double or more the followers.

lol I just noticed who the OP is... it's definitely a troll post.

[Moonlight Knight]

Originally posted by Vixziค็็็็็n:

Originally posted by Moonlight Knight:

Even though the hypothesis is a bit of a logical leap, it is at least mathematically sound. If only 10% of players followed games they want to buy and 50k people follow the game, that would, mathematically at least, amount to 500k.

No. Not only is the math not sound the analysis is even worse. I figured this had to be a troll post.

Look at Veilguard as the others have stated and that's after the fact it's already released if you compare Veilguard to other releases around the same time frame it lags way behind... and then look at something like Monster Hunter or even KCD2 which isn't even a widely popular game but are coming out soon those both we all know are slated to do much better sales wise and they have double or more the followers.

lol I just noticed who the OP is... it's definitely a troll post.

I said it was a logical leap, though (and yeah, I knew it was a troll based on the OP, who I've already seen being anti-woke).

10 percent of 500 is 50, though, so the math, while based on a bad premise, is at least sound.

[Vixziค็็็็็n]

Originally posted by Moonlight Knight:

Originally posted by Vixziค็็็็็n:

No. Not only is the math not sound the analysis is even worse. I figured this had to be a troll post.

Look at Veilguard as the others have stated and that's after the fact it's already released if you compare Veilguard to other releases around the same time frame it lags way behind... and then look at something like Monster Hunter or even KCD2 which isn't even a widely popular game but are coming out soon those both we all know are slated to do much better sales wise and they have double or more the followers.

lol I just noticed who the OP is... it's definitely a troll post.

I said it was a logical leap, though (and yeah, I knew it was a troll based on the OP, who I've already seen being anti-woke).

10 percent of 500 is 50, though, so the math, while based on a bad premise, is at least sound.

It's not sound because Veilguard is a great example. There isn't a single example you can find that fits that mold. First of all making any correlation to follows is bad but even if one could or would be made 10% is an extremely bad take.

[Moonlight Knight]

Originally posted by Vixziค็็็็็n:

Originally posted by Moonlight Knight:

I said it was a logical leap, though (and yeah, I knew it was a troll based on the OP, who I've already seen being anti-woke).

10 percent of 500 is 50, though, so the math, while based on a bad premise, is at least sound.

It's not sound because Veilguard is a great example. There isn't a single example you can find that fits that mold. First of all making any correlation to follows is bad but even if one could or would be made 10% is an extremely bad take.

... which is why I said it was a leap of logic and based on a bad premise.

The math OP used can be correct and still not an accurate representation of the situation.

[Vixziค็็็็็n]

Originally posted by Moonlight Knight:

Originally posted by Vixziค็็็็็n:

It's not sound because Veilguard is a great example. There isn't a single example you can find that fits that mold. First of all making any correlation to follows is bad but even if one could or would be made 10% is an extremely bad take.

... which is why I said it was a leap of logic and based on a bad premise.

The math OP used can be correct and still not an accurate representation of the situation.

lol whatever. It's not correct but if you feel you need to be more power to you.