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The worst nightmare would be like in my current england-run where they sported 300k troops by 1540, blobbed everywhere
Except maybe as Russia lol
No. In my game Ottomans already get 75k troops with like another spare 50k manpower by 1493. No way you can withstand that as a Caucasus minor. Either you fall harshly behind in tech or you don't get a military idea group at all + you most likely to have to fight at least 1 extra ally of theirs and potentially also Crimea as their vassal.
Once they get janissaries you are pretty much screwed.
Slowing down Ottomans is pretty much pure RNG. Especially if you don't have DLC for Condottieri.
To prove it, I've started a new campaign as Georgia, which I will chronicle here. This is the situation as of July of 1455:
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=2383421624
My first moves were to conquer Imreti and Samstke, whose provinces were Georgian cores. Samstke allied themselves with Circassia while I was beating Imreti, so I vassalized Circassia in that war as well.
Meanwhile, I allied with both Gazimukh and Muscowy. I've also maxed out relations with two Ottoman rivals, the Mamluks and Poland. Neither will ally me yet due to having too many diplomatic relations, but the moment that changes (when Poland annexes Mazovia, for example), I should be able to add Poland. The Mamluks are a longer-term goal. At that point, I'll probably be too strong for the Ottomans to dare attack and will be able to carefully expand in all directions while building up favors for an offensive war against them.
I also fabricated a claim on Trebizond and their ally, Theodoro, both of which were just conquered. Theodoro in particular is useful in that it gets me closer to Poland, eliminating the distance penalty for getting an alliance.
All standard stuff, really. Expand and ally. That's how you thrive as any minor power in this game.
Try a Shia of Gothic start. Much harder. Also do it without DLCs (expect the one that enables Janissaries, don't remember which it was) Much harder.
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=2383532058
Circassia has been annexed, and I grabbed three provinces from Crimea in a war with Uzbek, Crimea, and Kazan that my ally Muscowy declared. Better still, Poland is now officially an ally. They have the PU with Lithuania, so I have a very solid defensive position that the Ottomans probably won't be willing to attack. I still can't add the Mamluks to my alliance web, though. I need a much bigger army and fleet than I can currently afford, and more diplo rep will help as well.
Maybe in a few decades, but not yet.
The solution to both problems is to grow as fast as you can in the first couple decades, decades in which the Ottomans (if they're having a decent run) will be focusing on Byzantium, the Beyliks, and Albania. While they're busy with that, you eat your small neighbors to qualify for the alliances you need to survive.
Finally, while it's pretty easy to snag Muscowy, the strong Catholic powers in the region are harder to bring into your web and probably won't accept your diplomatic overtures unless they're rivals with the Ottomans. If Poland, Hungary, and/or Austria don't rival them, you may need to restart--but restarts are sometimes necessary as any weak country with powerful neighbors.
Turn them off because not everyone has DLCs and if you are unable to succeed as a Cacausus Shia or Gothic minor then DLCs are a must have which makes EU4 pay to win lel.
Europa Universalis 4 in its most basic form is about europe. The whole world becomes viable only because of the dlc's and i mean viable in the broadest terms, because experienced players would still be able to win with non-european countries in the base game. So, if you are not an experienced player and you want to play a non-european nation, you should pay for the respective dlc. This is nothing else than paying for a new race in like Total War: Warhammer.
Also, EU4 dlc's dont make the game easier. Not even close. They give you several positive and negative QoL options. For example, developing provinces is positive but favors are negative (arguably, i dont have anything against favors, but they slow down the game alot).
The favours system is exactly why you don't use Cossacks. Many players disable it.
You only buy good DLCs like Art of War, El Dorado, Mare Nostrum,. Third Rome if you play as Muscovy, Wealth of Nations, Common Sense, Rights of Man, Cradle of Civilization, Rule Britannia, Dharma (especially as Indians but you can turn off otherwise), Golden Century. These DLCs have no drawbacks. The ones I didn't mention suck.
I also don't play Warhammer exactly because of the DLC system.