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I don't see any impact about the manpower or the reinforcement though, unlike EU3.
From the wiki. I often completely lower maintenance when there is no unrest or impending conflicts. Doesn't impact manpower, but reinforcement/morale heavily. Sometimes you can strategically (carefully) reduce maintenance to conserve manpower (through slower reinforcement).
Nothing "wrong" with it. It will take longer to reinforce your army morale once you do raise the maintenance though. And if you get surprised with an attack (rebel or otherwise) and your army isn't in a safe location, it will probably get stackwiped. I BELIEVE it does impact your military score, as well as the AI weighing relative strength of alliances (not sure about this last part, maybe someone else could verify if that is true). It definitely can be risky. Personally, I am either on full maintenance or no maintenance. I almost never hover inbetween.
If any rebel stack reaches 80% I then look at the percent chance of an increase if it is below 5% I leave it turned down. If is above 5% to about 20% I crank it up to about 50%. If the percent chance is above 20% percent I go full maintenance.
Late game when money is less of a problem I keep it at about 80% unless I have back to back wars planned then I keep it at 100%.
As others have noted the obvious exception is when a rebellion is about to happen, you will probably want to keep your forces fully maintained until you've beaten them down.
If you are dominating, it is no problem.
But if you have on par nations around, they could think you are weak and attack you.
A non wanted war costs time and money.
Also, some may think you are too weak to be worth allying.
I usually play at 80-100% maintenance at all time and it is incredibly rare that an AI declares war on me.
Fairly sure this is either false or contributes too little to have a remotely signifcant effect. I think you will find that in general the AI will never ever attack you at all unless you are significantly weaker (way fewer troops fielded, much lower mil tech, much much weaker alliance etc). In my experience having reduced maintenance does not increase the likelyhood of getting attacked.
Edit: thread in the forum which discusses the modifier and what affects it. Turns out the maintenance slider has no effect on relative strength (at least not on the visible modifier, which makes it highly unlikely to affect war declarations):
https://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum/index.php?threads/can-someone-explain-relative-military-power-to-me.744517/
Full maintenance for years, noone ever declare on me unless they are way stronger,, even 'weak' coalitions.
As soon as i lower maintenance to nil, bam declared.
Sure, wont happen if im the superpower in the area.
Could be coincidence, but...
I play on hard / very hard too, so AI armies are quite bigger than in normal.
Yes, ive read some of these posts saying no effect, i dont know, but i tend to favor my own experiences over what someone else says.