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We're now ten thousand years past the Horus Heresy, though still feeling it's effects since it basically tore humanity down from it's second golden age into the fascist caricature that is the Imperium of Man.
At least, so far, I've seen no reference about Lion. Could be right after Cadia fall, or more far away. It's sure is 10k years after Horus tho
Only supposition tho.
I think it's just as Cadia falls, since the disappearance of the Astronomicon and the storm at the Maw are mentioned as new things.
The game is much closer to modern 40K events and timelines, but before the latest crazy Galaxy changing events.
The Fall of Cadia expanding the Eye of Terror and creating the Cicatrix Maledictum (the Great Rift), thus splitting the Imperium in two and cutting off the Emperor's Light for a good time for half the Imperium (which basically all but falls in those areas), happened in 999.M41 (Year 41999).
Again if those save file numbers were in fact the year in-game then we're about 150ish years before the new Imperial Dark Age and about 240ish years from when the Golden Throne will supposedly stop working. Meaning either the End of the Imperium/Galaxy or Warp Entity Emperor comes to save the Day. Terra and the core sectors of the Imperium will probably go kaboom regardless like the Eldar with the Eye of Terror. :D
Last time I checked the latest events in the timeline were around early M.42.
Also there's some hints that the game could actually be happening at the same time as the Fall of Cadia. Cassia when she connects to your ship mentioned that the Emperor's light has been severely dimmed. In addition to outright saying "HIS IS GONE!" to paraphrase during the ritual beforehand. The Koronus Expanse is on the other side of the Eye of Terra from Terra at the fringes of the Galaxy). It's not close to it really, but the way back to the Imperium in game is cut off my a very unusually powerful Warp Storm that would also suggest a Cadia issue.
If so all the sectors below/around the Koronus Expanse are being wiped off the face of the map by hordes of Daemons and Chaos Marines. The Sector east of Calixis Sector (Fenial Sector) went dark two years before the Fall of Cadia due to Daemons.
Note the last two maps on this page:
https://warhammer40k.fandom.com/wiki/Milky_Way_Galaxy
Calixis Sector and the Koronus Expanse are in the NW area... now cut off by the Eye of Terra mostly. Koronus is north of Calixis close to the Halo Stars.