Judgment

Judgment

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,./';/.;' Feb 21, 2024 @ 2:06am
blackjack
is there any conceivable way to not get 25 every turn
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Showing 1-8 of 8 comments
ArtoStyles Feb 21, 2024 @ 10:06pm 
pure luck lad
PlagueBrain Feb 25, 2024 @ 9:06am 
Pray to RNGesus, just like IRL.
Seamus Feb 25, 2024 @ 9:55am 
Practice and luck. And not hitting on high pairs.
joey Mar 1, 2024 @ 10:52pm 
pretty sure you are more likely to get 10 than any other number (since all face cards are equal to 10). you are going to bust pretty much 90% of the time when you get anything above 11. just stand and hope the dealer busts instead (or if you have 18+ him getting lower than you).
Last edited by joey; Mar 1, 2024 @ 10:54pm
PlagueBrain Mar 4, 2024 @ 9:30pm 
Originally posted by ,./'/.':
is there any conceivable way to not get 25 every turn

Apart from the blackjack charm you can get from Yurika (and I *think* that's not available til Ch. 11, but don't quote me on that part - but Yurika's at one of the mahjong places, I remember that much).

Blackjack, like any kind of gambling really, is about statistics.

In a deck of cards, there's 52 cards. With me so far? Good.

Each suit of cards has 4 cards with a value of 10, so 16/52.

So, any given hand, you have about a 30% chance of drawing something with a value of 10.

That's why the house draws to 16, stops at 17. Statistically, they're more likely to be at 16-21, and bust less.

The house logic relys on players being greedy, and pushing their luck too hard, trying to reach 21 (or better - they'll double on a 12 or 13). The house isn't there for you to play with. They're not there for you. They're there to win against you. That's how they make money.

That's why the house always wins, in the long run. They're not trying to reach 21. They're banking on players busting out - because their strategy wins far more than it loses.

Same principle here.

To "win" at blackjack, you have to play conservatively - to play the odds in your favor that the dealer busts before the soft 17. The house plays a long game - you have to, too.

Split hands are your friend, and keep your hits low, and you'll usually do ok. And that's where the odds of blackjack weight somewhat in the player's favor - you don't have to draw to 16. The house does. If you play the exact same way the house does, but stand a couple pips earlier, you'll win slightly more often than the house will - in the long term.

If you're making 25 that frequently (enough to mention it), you're hitting too late. And it because you have a 1/3 or so chance of drawing 10 on a 15, and...53% or so of busting on the hit (3 cards/suit that put you over 21:

7 + 15 = 22, so anything >= 7 (aces, of course, count as 1 for this)

So:

12. 12+16 = 28

28/52 = .53, thereabout, ergo

53%, over half the potential hits just for the next hit, but you're still around 50% for the card after.

Point is - you hit 25 so frequently because, statistically speaking, you ♥♥♥♥ yourself by doing that - and that's what the house banks on. Might as well be tossing your wallet on the table, and not the chips.

Tldr the house always wins, because the house can do math.
Mithra Invictus Mar 25, 2024 @ 11:29pm 
The game is rigged, there is an exploit even. (I don't know if it still works, but soon I am going to test.)

https://www.reddit.com/r/yakuzagames/comments/pdwusc/judgement_blackjack_9j_trick/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iveT1EUvbus
SharkHardware Apr 15, 2024 @ 12:02pm 
Yup. As a game presenter who had delt around 150k rounds in blackjack, there's a simple strategy:
Dealers card total 4-9, draw until >12
Dealers 10 - draw untill 17 or more
A sinple BJ strategy always works well, just follow your instincts
PhillyCh3zSt3ak Jun 4, 2024 @ 9:36pm 
Generally speaking, outside of screwy logic in code apparently, Hit until 18+ if under 18. Stay on 18+. You can split on doubles and splitting the Aces is risky. Generally that's the rules I run by and outside of the weirdness with how the game chooses the "deck" when you join, it's a pretty solid strategy.
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