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Personally, my biggest issue with the story is that it states that WWII dragged on into 1946, but for some reason the Manhattan project was never completed.
Unsure what the problem with doing research at a lunar base is. Theoretically access control would be much easier, and therefore security much tighter. Which seems very in line with the extreme paranoia of the Reich.
Eh, totalitarian regimes don't really have to worry about justifying research expenses. German WWII scientific/weapons proposals were by and large absurdly ambitious even by today's standards. (Including a proposal to put a giant mirror in space and fry hostile cities off the map using sunlight like a very large magnifying glass) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wunderwaffe
By and large things got funded one of two ways. 1. Hitler decided he needed something with specific capabilities, and said "Make this happen." Or someone made a pitch and was able to enamor him with the idea. Not that this always panned out, of course. They did make the fateful decision in 1942 to put a theoretical atomic bomb on the backburner after all.
Point being, in a scenario where Germany had achieved total victory in 1946, I could absolutely see a highly advanced lunar colonization project being plausible. The US space program achieved many successes primarily due to Operation Paperclip cutting deals to pardon former Reich scientists. Imagine how much more successful they would've been with a blank check from hitler and the resources of 2/3 of the planet at their disposal.