Dragon Age™: The Veilguard

Dragon Age™: The Veilguard

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yb1e Oct 23, 2024 @ 11:42am
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Dragon Age: The Veilguard Sales Are Looking Strong
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Showing 1-15 of 31 comments
Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
I see many using this article as some kind of proof that this game is now one of the best selling games of all time.
Let me showcase below, why that is not the case, so we can have some proper context on the matter.

Disclaimer: I hope this does sell well in the end and that people that are the new target audience for this game will love it, have fun and take care of our beloved IP. But I simply can´t let a sloppy article like this be basis for misinformation.

Lets do context.

(I´ve listed this in another thread)

The Velguard have during the last month been all from outside top 200 top sellers, to around 80´s) and then going better and better.. its best position is now and its not even breaking into top20 top sellers.

A game like the new Dragonball, was consistently higher than DA:TV (so was metaphor)
BO6 have consistly been 30 places better than DA:TV and have now gone significantly up

With the gamalytic link, you can see everyday topseller ranking for DA:TV. You can also use steamdb, if you really wanna make it more of a chor outside daily.

Now that the source have been debunked, lets go and see actual context.

But before.. lets do something funny.

Monster Hunter Wilds is currently the 2nd most preorder game... (its number #9)
This game wont release before 2025 !!!
Dragon Age: The Veilguard, is due release in 8 days!!!! 8 days!!! yet it is only number #26 on the list (and number 4, not 3, on preorders)

By the preorder only (many released last week and the week before, that were higher than DA:TV, hence why its moved up)

#2 overall - Call of Duty®: Black Ops 6 (best preorder right now)
#9 overall - Monster Hunter Wilds (2nd best)
#12 overall - ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE (release tomorrow)
#18 overall - ONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS (not official released yet, albeit it had editions that let you play early)
#26. Dragon Age™: The Veilguard

Joshua Robertson does not seem to have eyes :duranceleft::duranceright: and the fact he could write such a piece without context just showcase the overall quality of game journalism....

DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO, that was consistently higher preordered than DA:TV is still outselling DA:TV after release, its number #14 on the list.

Let look at its numbers.
https://steamdb.info/app/1790600/
31,282 players right now.
122,554 player at alltime peak
~1.10 M estimated owners

Now.... this does not mean DA:TV could not finish off in a super sprint, but that is highly unlikely, I do personally think it will have higher concurrent players, due to the fact so many of current preorders are in China and SEA. (a fourth of all preorders are Chinese, the biggest margin of all)

To give some context.
A game lik BG3 and CP2077 sold over 10m during first launch week (yes BG3 did have a special preorder with a Larian styled EA, where you help them with feedback in a limited act 1 over the entire course) but they still sold millions! on day one.

H:L a console centric game, also sold millions on release and even had more than a million preorders...

The point I am trying to put across, is that DA:TV is not selling well if we look at its budget, IP and other similar AAA games around same budget (DA:TV cost more than both BG3 and H:L, it is on the levels of CP2077)

Even Starfield that was in huge trouble and spilt the playerbase in half, had more sales...

Exactly! On top of that let's just look at Monster Hunter. A game not due out until Feb of 2025 and didn't have near the fanfare of a flagship title like DA:V until maybe 2018 and yet still it's outperforming one of Bioware's biggest titles a week prior to it's release.
Scyris (Banned) Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:05pm 
Originally posted by Vixziค็็็็็n:
Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
I see many using this article as some kind of proof that this game is now one of the best selling games of all time.
Let me showcase below, why that is not the case, so we can have some proper context on the matter.

Disclaimer: I hope this does sell well in the end and that people that are the new target audience for this game will love it, have fun and take care of our beloved IP. But I simply can´t let a sloppy article like this be basis for misinformation.

Lets do context.

(I´ve listed this in another thread)

The Velguard have during the last month been all from outside top 200 top sellers, to around 80´s) and then going better and better.. its best position is now and its not even breaking into top20 top sellers.

A game like the new Dragonball, was consistently higher than DA:TV (so was metaphor)
BO6 have consistly been 30 places better than DA:TV and have now gone significantly up

With the gamalytic link, you can see everyday topseller ranking for DA:TV. You can also use steamdb, if you really wanna make it more of a chor outside daily.

Now that the source have been debunked, lets go and see actual context.

But before.. lets do something funny.

Monster Hunter Wilds is currently the 2nd most preorder game... (its number #9)
This game wont release before 2025 !!!
Dragon Age: The Veilguard, is due release in 8 days!!!! 8 days!!! yet it is only number #26 on the list (and number 4, not 3, on preorders)

By the preorder only (many released last week and the week before, that were higher than DA:TV, hence why its moved up)

#2 overall - Call of Duty®: Black Ops 6 (best preorder right now)
#9 overall - Monster Hunter Wilds (2nd best)
#12 overall - ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE (release tomorrow)
#18 overall - ONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS (not official released yet, albeit it had editions that let you play early)
#26. Dragon Age™: The Veilguard

Joshua Robertson does not seem to have eyes :duranceleft::duranceright: and the fact he could write such a piece without context just showcase the overall quality of game journalism....

DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO, that was consistently higher preordered than DA:TV is still outselling DA:TV after release, its number #14 on the list.

Let look at its numbers.
https://steamdb.info/app/1790600/
31,282 players right now.
122,554 player at alltime peak
~1.10 M estimated owners

Now.... this does not mean DA:TV could not finish off in a super sprint, but that is highly unlikely, I do personally think it will have higher concurrent players, due to the fact so many of current preorders are in China and SEA. (a fourth of all preorders are Chinese, the biggest margin of all)

To give some context.
A game lik BG3 and CP2077 sold over 10m during first launch week (yes BG3 did have a special preorder with a Larian styled EA, where you help them with feedback in a limited act 1 over the entire course) but they still sold millions! on day one.

H:L a console centric game, also sold millions on release and even had more than a million preorders...

The point I am trying to put across, is that DA:TV is not selling well if we look at its budget, IP and other similar AAA games around same budget (DA:TV cost more than both BG3 and H:L, it is on the levels of CP2077)

Even Starfield that was in huge trouble and spilt the playerbase in half, had more sales...

Exactly! On top of that let's just look at Monster Hunter. A game not due out until Feb of 2025 and didn't have near the fanfare of a flagship title like DA:V until maybe 2018 and yet still it's outperforming one of Bioware's biggest titles a week prior to it's release.

Yeah DAV is actually doing extremly poorly for such a major title, its most likely going to be a failure because if it doesn't sell enough copies to make back what it cost to produce it, the game is a failure. Wokies go one about how star wars outlaws has managed to sell 1 mil copies finally, and its like... thats still a major failure when it needs to sell prob 4-5 million copies or more just to break even and recoup production costs, nevermind making a profit, that many copies is just to break even. People don't seem to factor this in.

As a prime example Alan Wake 2 a game people consider sold well, still is a failure as even to this day it still has not made a penny of profit, they haven't even broke even on making back what it cost them to make it. When this happens the game is considered a failure. Budget of DAV is prob easly over 150-200 million which means it needs at least 3-4 mil copies sold to be considered remotely a success, and from the sales numbers them getting far past 1 million looks like its going to be a major uphill battle. Due to many poor decisions made with the game, like including lgbt elements as a forefront, the cartoony art style that doesn't fit the games universe, how they basically snubbed 2 of the previous games as if they don't want you to know about them since choices in them do not matter in DAV at all. Its not looking good for DAV, and as I've said, the estimated budget I think the game prob cost means they are never going to sell enough to turn a profit on it. Game just has too many downsides for a dragon age mainline game.

On a side note I find it halarious how a romance of the three kingdoms game a VERY NICHE game series is slaughtering DAV in sales. That is DEFF not a good look for DAV when such a niche title is doing far better. Monster hunter beating it is pretty much a given as MH is huge.
Last edited by Scyris; Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:10pm
Scyris (Banned) Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:11pm 
Originally posted by MemeMachine:
Why does everyone keep using the same type of articles, and expecting people to say "Huh, this must be true!".
SteamDB shows perfectly that the game can't even hit top 20 globally.

Its just woke people trying to cope with the incoming failure of their current flagship woke game. Before this there was Concord as their woke flagship game that failed horribly and you seen the same sort of cope articles by wokies all over as they are in panic mode.
Captain Spaulding Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:15pm 
Originally posted by Scyris:
Originally posted by MemeMachine:
Why does everyone keep using the same type of articles, and expecting people to say "Huh, this must be true!".
SteamDB shows perfectly that the game can't even hit top 20 globally.

Its just woke people trying to cope with the incoming failure of their current flagship woke game. Before this there was Concord as their woke flagship game that failed horribly and you seen the same sort of cope articles by wokies all over as they are in panic mode.

But why would you do this to yourself!? If they truly believe in this crap (that this game is moving mountains when it comes to pre-orders), is one thing, but I doubt it... so why lie to yourself?! Lying to others is bad enough, but lying to yourself is just sad...
Captain Spaulding Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:22pm 
Yeah, but sooner or later (and in this case, in just over a week), they'll have to face the music of reality.... and now I've recalled the Southpark song on this matter :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sXQkXXBqj_U

This ends with them hanging the "villain" Reality. This is so on point with what's happening with this game (and others), hahahaha!
Last edited by Captain Spaulding; Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:25pm
yb1e Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:40pm 
Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
I see many using this article as some kind of proof that this game is now one of the best selling games of all time.
Let me showcase below, why that is not the case, so we can have some proper context on the matter.

Disclaimer: I hope this does sell well in the end and that people that are the new target audience for this game will love it, have fun and take care of our beloved IP. But I simply can´t let a sloppy article like this be basis for misinformation.

Lets do context.

(I´ve listed this in another thread)

The Velguard have during the last month been all from outside top 200 top sellers, to around 80´s) and then going better and better.. its best position is now and its not even breaking into top20 top sellers.

A game like the new Dragonball, was consistently higher than DA:TV (so was metaphor)
BO6 have consistly been 30 places better than DA:TV and have now gone significantly up

With the gamalytic link, you can see everyday topseller ranking for DA:TV. You can also use steamdb, if you really wanna make it more of a chor outside daily.

Now that the source have been debunked, lets go and see actual context.

But before.. lets do something funny.

Monster Hunter Wilds is currently the 2nd most preorder game... (its number #9)
This game wont release before 2025 !!!
Dragon Age: The Veilguard, is due release in 8 days!!!! 8 days!!! yet it is only number #26 on the list (and number 4, not 3, on preorders)

By the preorder only (many released last week and the week before, that were higher than DA:TV, hence why its moved up)
https://store.steampowered.com/charts/topselling/global

#2 overall - Call of Duty®: Black Ops 6 (best preorder right now)
#9 overall - Monster Hunter Wilds (2nd best)
#12 overall - ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE (release tomorrow)
#18 overall - ONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS (not official released yet, albeit it had editions that let you play early)
#26. Dragon Age™: The Veilguard

Joshua Robertson might have missed to see the actual preorders in there:duranceleft::duranceright: Might be oversight, might be stressed work. Overall there is a lack of quality and context within their reasoning.

DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO, that was consistently higher preordered than DA:TV is still outselling DA:TV after release, its number #14 on the list.

Let look at its numbers.
https://steamdb.info/app/1790600/
31,282 players right now.
122,554 player at alltime peak
~1.10 M estimated owners

Now.... this does not mean DA:TV could not finish off in a super sprint, but that is highly unlikely, I do personally think it will have higher concurrent players, due to the fact so many of current preorders are in China and SEA. (a fourth of all preorders are Chinese, the biggest margin of all)

To give some context.
A game lik BG3 and CP2077 sold over 10m during first launch week (yes BG3 did have a special preorder with a Larian styled EA, where you help them with feedback in a limited act 1 over the entire course) but they still sold millions! on day one.

H:L a console centric game, also sold millions on release and even had more than a million preorders...

The point I am trying to put across, is that DA:TV is not selling well if we look at its budget, IP and other similar AAA games around same budget (DA:TV cost more than both BG3 and H:L, it is on the levels of CP2077)

Even Starfield that was in huge trouble and spilt the playerbase in half, had more sales...

Nobody is claiming that the game is a huge success, the point is that the game is selling normal numbers even with the bad news all around

If you pick a game with the same brand power like Resident Evil 4 Remake last year, that game one month before release had 70k followers on steam, Veilguard also has 70k followers on steam on the same time-frame

https://steamdb.info/app/2050650/charts/

Look at the top wishlist in February 2023 and see RE4 position: https://web.archive.org/web/20230214190655/https://store.steampowered.com/search/?filter=popularwishlist

Metaphor TODAY has less followers than Veilguard: https://steamdb.info/app/2679460/charts/


Metaphor position on the wishlist one month before release:  https://web.archive.org/web/20240910004258/https://store.steampowered.com/search/?filter=popularwishlist

all WAY behind Veilguard


Dragon Ball and MH: Wilds are games with HUGE hype, with insane engagements and no controversy around, the comparison is just not correct, specially if you compare with a Bioware game, people are NOT pre-ordering after anthem and andromeda, this game NEEDS good reviews

you guys need to stop painting apocalisype scenario when things are just normal, I know you guys want the game to fail, but there is a limit for alienation

Last edited by yb1e; Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:43pm
pr1mus Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:43pm 
Originally posted by MemeMachine:
Originally posted by MakeshiftRiot:
There is literally no way this journalist could know either way for sure. Holy speculation, Batman. Steam rankings do not provide the actual number of sales.
Steam is the biggest gaming platform for PC, so the numbers on here are VERY important.
considering BioWare games perform way better on console, the numbers aren't as important for sales overall.
GiggleHz Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:46pm 
doesnt matter if it sells 100 million or 100 copies, i will NEVER play this.
VonFIDDE Oct 23, 2024 @ 1:55pm 
It will be a complete package no wonder it will sell.
pr1mus Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:11pm 
Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
In comparison, games such as BG3 and CP2077 almost had a million concurrent.
cause those are games with major PC audiences compared to console, Veilguard (much like other BioWare games) do the brunt of their numbers on console.

looking at Steam concurrent players (and i know this will be the only metric people are going to look at on the forums) is only a way to loosely gauge Steam sales, which is again going to be likely the lowest selling platform for a BioWare release.
yb1e Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:26pm 
Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
Originally posted by yb1e:

Nobody is claiming that the game is a huge success, the point is that the game is selling normal numbers even with the bad news all around

If you pick a game with the same brand power like Resident Evil 4 Remake last year, that game one month before release had 70k followers on steam, Veilguard also has 70k followers on steam on the same time-frame

https://steamdb.info/app/2050650/charts/

Look at the top wishlist in February 2023 and see RE4 position: https://web.archive.org/web/20230214190655/https://store.steampowered.com/search/?filter=popularwishlist

Metaphor TODAY has less followers than Veilguard: https://steamdb.info/app/2679460/charts/


Metaphor position on the wishlist one month before release:  https://web.archive.org/web/20240910004258/https://store.steampowered.com/search/?filter=popularwishlist

all WAY behind Veilguard


Dragon Ball and MH: Wilds are games with HUGE hype, with insane engagements and no controversy around, the comparison is just not correct, specially if you compare with a Bioware game, people are NOT pre-ordering after anthem and andromeda, this game NEEDS good reviews

you guys need to stop painting apocalisype scenario when things are just normal, I know you guys want the game to fail, but there is a limit for alienation

I disagree and I listed why.

This game has a budget above 200m
This game is in a well established IP, that caters to both RPG fans and some of the mainstream.

If we look at the others games I listed (I will link budget) they all did much much much better.

BG3 - 100m budget (sold millions on launch
H:L - 150m budget (sold millions on launch)
CP2077 - 250m (Sold millions on launch)

All of the above sold over 6m on PC alone, CP2077 and BG3 sold over 15m on PC alone.
If we include a game such as Starfield (it had a much higher budget than any of them) it still sold millions on launch day and that was not a success, nor well recieved.

This game is not even close to any of these numbers, its selling like AA games... trying to say, that is not "that bad" is an understatement.. if current trend holds, its a disaster!
But that is just that... people could come and just massively buy it on launch day, so we would have to wait and see when it launches.

Resident Evil 4 Remake did cost around 100m and sold around 2m copies.
It had a 168,191 concurrent peak on steam.

It sold over 6 million copies overall (console is the primary) and is what, 8 million now? (sales do wonders) It is not considered a success and did avarage, not a huge earner for them.

Veilguard has a budget twice as big.... do you think it will sell close to what RE4 RM did? I doubt it. that is the issue here... its a huge title, it needs to sell massively to even break even.. like 6-8 million (cross platform) to just break even.

You can´t do much in terms of followers.. its a useless metric, I follow games I never bought, still follow them. I also bought games, that I don´t follow.
If we look at wishlist, then you will notice that most did so before the name change, back when this was Dreadwolf, over one fourth of those are from China, almost 10% are Russians (they can´t even buy the game)

You don´t get paid for followers or wishlistings.. you get paid for copies sold.

Metaphor is an AA game, that cost less than 60m to make... it can´t be compared to games such as DA:TV
Mataphor is a commercial success because its generating a rather huge net profit (that is from revenue and then taking away all cost involved)
If DA:TV sold as much as Metaphor, it would be in deep trouble commercial (well not really, since its EA, but you understand the point)

MHW and Dragonball, both cost significantly less to develop than DA:TV.
They might be hyped, but the point is that these should not really be outselling an IP like DA.

The overall point is that either PC players (we can´t know for console) are not showing up for DA:TV, are cautious or are waiting until launch.
It will be interesting to see, but I still doubt it will sell a million on steam in the opening week and that would be severely underperforming.

My guess is 650-750k (still much higher than current preorders) and a 130-180k concurrent.


In comparison, games such as BG3 and CP2077 almost had a million concurrent.


Things are not normal...
A game such as DA:O (back in a forgotten age, where we had much less gamers and mainstreamers) it still sold 3m on PC ! and over 1.5m in the opining week.


You saying that this game has a budget of 200M? any source on that?

Andromeda cost 55 million to make and this game is very similar in scope, also Anthem, a trash failed game, made enough money to break even: https://www.pcgamesn.com/anthem/over-100-million-digital-launch-revenue

The games you are comparing are universally acclaimed games, with great reviews and no controversy, and huge HYPE, the exacly opposite of Veilguard situation lol, i choose RE4 because I think that game had a good hype behind it and did ok for Capcom.

The wishlist and followers are a REAL metric just like steam most sold list, Dragon Ball had 100k followers before launch, and it was a huge success

Not every game will have the hype and sales of BG3 lol, not even Sony AAA games can do that, imagine thinking that a Bioware full of hate and controversy game would top charts everywhere?

The game is doing perfectly well considering all the bad controversy, reviews will decide everything, if they get 90+ on metacritic(previews indicated that) it will be huge
Last edited by yb1e; Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:28pm
pr1mus Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:32pm 
Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
Then what about H:L and E:R
Both of those are console centric.
and those are also the outliers, H:L was the best selling game of 2023, and Elden Ring needs no further explanation either.

Originally posted by AdahnGorion:
The point here is. We wont see these numbers with Veilguard
and that's fine that we won't see a concurrent million for Veilguard, i don't think that was ever on the table unless it replicated H:L sales which is too high a bar for Dragon Age to begin with.
Aeon Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:39pm 
One must also recall that this was said on the EA Investor Day (17.9.2024):
Originally posted by "Stuart Canfield":
Looking ahead, we’re eagerly anticipating the launch of EA Sports FC 25 next week, and Dragon Age: The Veilguard in October, and both are currently tracking within expectations
https://felassan.tumblr.com/post/762417118967889920/laura-miele-so-lets-take-a-look-at-whats-to

So it might not be the most popular title but it's probably selling well enough.
Kaolan Enjoyer 27 Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:51pm 
Originally posted by Aeon:
One must also recall that this was said on the EA Investor Day (17.9.2024):
Originally posted by "Stuart Canfield":
Looking ahead, we’re eagerly anticipating the launch of EA Sports FC 25 next week, and Dragon Age: The Veilguard in October, and both are currently tracking within expectations
https://felassan.tumblr.com/post/762417118967889920/laura-miele-so-lets-take-a-look-at-whats-to

So it might not be the most popular title but it's probably selling well enough.
Hilarious how none of the people who keep insisting the game is gonna 'bomb' acknowledge this.
Originally posted by yb1e:

You saying that this game has a budget of 200M? any source on that?

Andromeda cost 55 million to make and this game is very similar in scope, also Anthem, a trash failed game, made enough money to break even: https://www.pcgamesn.com/anthem/over-100-million-digital-launch-revenue

The games you are comparing are universally acclaimed games, with great reviews and no controversy, and huge HYPE, the exacly opposite of Veilguard situation lol, i choose RE4 because I think that game had a good hype behind it and did ok for Capcom.

The wishlist and followers are a REAL metric just like steam most sold list, Dragon Ball had 100k followers before launch, and it was a huge success

Not every game will have the hype and sales of BG3 lol, not even Sony AAA games can do that, imagine thinking that a Bioware full of hate and controversy game would top charts everywhere?

The game is doing perfectly well considering all the bad controversy, reviews will decide everything

Please stop lying. Anthem took how many years to make? Not what they claimed it took in the media..what it actually took after being rebooted several times internally. I'll help you. The estimation is somewhere on and off for around 6 years. It's estimated that a AAA game takes around 100k per employee a year. The Edmonton office employed around 700-800 people at the time. Do the math.

If the game was doing so tremendously at launch they wouldn't have scrapped it. The reality is that hype boosted it's initial sales but when broken down by what they expected their biggest piece of ongoing revenue to be which was micro transactions, that proved to be a fraction of the sales numbers.

EA set a target of 6 million copies by end of March. EA later explained that Anthem failed to meet sales expectations and so cut their losses because the writing was on the wall.

Stop posting sensationalized articles that serve as highlight reels that don't paint anywhere close to the real picture.

Now what you are correct about is that games like Monster Hunter don't have the controversy...sounds like a Bioware problem. That doesn't change what the trending is telling us between reception of the game, it's place on the charts in comparison to similar titles, the fact it has no competition really other than Black Ops for current year release, it's number of wishlisted and followed, etc. These things and more point to a disappointment.
Last edited by Vixziค็็็็็n; Oct 23, 2024 @ 2:53pm
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Date Posted: Oct 23, 2024 @ 11:42am
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