Target sales for the game is between 2 - 2.5 million

[jokerahh]

So it looks like EA expect DA to sell between 2 and 2.5 million copies through the Christmas period looking to make around £190,000 for the game to be on target.

https://www.tweaktown.com/news/101457/ea-expects-dragon-age-the-veilguard-to-largely-affect-holiday-earnings/index.html

No news yet as to whether or not they are anywhere near that goal. There are estimates between 200,000 and 3.5 million copies sold at this time.

I think by Christmas, with the aid of some sales discounts, the game can sell those numbers, but I also note those are some really low numbers for a AAA game from a popular franchise.

Be interesting to see what we find out from the Q3 EA call in January.

[MetalHev]

One thing is sure, this is the last Dragon Age game. There's no way in hell they're gonna blow another 10 years for a sequel.

[Ronin]

If that's true, then this game is already a success for them. Silent Hill 2 Remake sold 1 million in three days with a peak of 20k players.

[Kethanid]

Those estimates crack me up, it's like ,hey can you tell me how old that guy was that robbed the bank? Well, they were between 20 and 50 years old.

[jokerahh]

Originally posted by Ronin:

If that's true, then this game is already a success for them. Silent Hill 2 Remake sold 1 million in three days with a peak of 20k players.

Peak players is something you can make guesses from but there are other games that had speaks in hundreds of thousands that only sold a half a million.

[Ronin]

Originally posted by jokerahh:

Originally posted by Ronin:

If that's true, then this game is already a success for them. Silent Hill 2 Remake sold 1 million in three days with a peak of 20k players.

Peak players is something you can make guesses from but there are other games that had speaks in hundreds of thousands that only sold a half a million.

The only estimated data so far is 530k sold according to Gamalytic on Steam.

You have to add Xbox and PlayStation. For me, this game has already surpassed 1 million copies sold, on its way to 2 million by the end of the weekend.

[jokerahh]

Originally posted by Ronin:

Originally posted by jokerahh:

Peak players is something you can make guesses from but there are other games that had speaks in hundreds of thousands that only sold a half a million.

The only estimated data so far is 530k sold according to Gamalytic on Steam.

You have to add Xbox and PlayStation. For me, this game has already surpassed 1 million copies sold, on its way to 2 million by the end of the weekend.

I mean they provide a range, 530k is the middle of the range, the full range is 536.5k (268.2k - 804.7k) and thats because they know it isn't accurate, its an estimate. I think if it had sold a million in the open weekend, that would have been given publicity and used to market it further. I'm not confident they have reached the 1 million mark yet but I do think they will reach it soon.

[Kethanid]

Originally posted by MetalHev:

One thing is sure, this is the last Dragon Age game. There's no way in hell they're gonna blow another 10 years for a sequel.

I dunno, Ubisoft has been slowly cutting their own throats, could see Bioware doing the same. But with Mass Effect incoming as well, that might be end of them.

[all2easy]

Should have aimed for $10 million.

[Mentally Unstable]

It has to be noted that the 2.5 million copies isn't EA's overall expectation for the game. It's their expectation for this particular quarter of their financial year in order to hit a particular overall financial target for the whole company.

Their overall minimum expectation could be 5 million copies or more within one year. So it means that even if they do meet their expectations for this particular quarter, the game may not meet their overall expectation within a certain period of time.

Dead space remake is an example. It sold well enough initially but sales quickly tapered off after that and it ultimately failed to meet the 5 million overall goal that EA set for it, thus resulting in the remake being condemned as "underperforming" and the franchise being mothballed.

Since EA's CEO is expecting veilguard to be a "breakout success", it's possible that he expects veilguard to sell more than the 12 million lifetime sales of DAI within the first year. As hyperbolic it might sound, this is EA we are talking about. Unrealistic goals is a common thing when it comes to them. They already expected 5 million copies for the dead space remake, they will expect far more for their bigger franchises such as DA.

[Ronin]

Originally posted by jokerahh:

Originally posted by Ronin:

The only estimated data so far is 530k sold according to Gamalytic on Steam.

You have to add Xbox and PlayStation. For me, this game has already surpassed 1 million copies sold, on its way to 2 million by the end of the weekend.

I mean they provide a range, 530k is the middle of the range, the full range is 536.5k (268.2k - 804.7k) and thats because they know it isn't accurate, its an estimate. I think if it had sold a million in the open weekend, that would have been given publicity and used to market it further. I'm not confident they have reached the 1 million mark yet but I do think they will reach it soon.

If they talk about sales, they will do it on Monday.

[jokerahh]

Originally posted by Mentally Unstable:

It has to be noted that the 2.5 million copies isn't EA's overall expectation for the game. It's their expectation for this particular quarter of their financial year in order to hit a particular overall financial target for the whole company.

Their overall minimum expectation could be 5 million copies or more within one year. So it means that even if they do meet their expectations for this particular quarter, the game may not meet their overall expectation within a certain period of time.

Dead space remake is an example. It sold well enough initially but sales quickly tapered off after that and it ultimately failed to meet the 5 million overall goal that EA set for it, thus resulting in the remake being condemned as "underperforming" and the franchise being mothballed.

Since EA's CEO is expecting veilguard to be a "breakout success", it's possible that he expects veilguard to sell more than the 12 million lifetime sales of DAI within the first year. As hyperbolic it might sound, this is EA we are talking about. Unrealistic goals is a common thing when it comes to them. They already expected 5 million copies for the dead space remake, they will expect far more for one of their OG franchises such DA.

I did say by Christmas

[Captain Spaulding]

I don't understand the man's math... they probably need and expect it to do a loooot more than 2.5 million copies (man who wrote that doesn't explain his reasoning) to make of its budget and turn a profit... and I don't think it'll move past 2 million copies in the foreseeable future (cumulated sales on all platforms)

[Monjac]

The optimism in this topic is...baffling to say the least .

Where have you guys been ? Do you not know Andrew Wilson ? The infamous EA CEO that is known to have butchered studios ? They murdered Visceral despite deadspace selling several millions of copies .

And you actually think he isn't going to shut down Bioware if it doesn't sell 10m copies ?

The more likely scenario is , they will shut down Bioware , move the dev to Fifa and Madden and continue to print money from that 2 games .

[Mentally Unstable]

Originally posted by jokerahh:

I did say by Christmas

My apologies, my post wasn't targeting your OP. It was intended to inform those who might not bother to read in detail and assume that it is only 2.5 million overall for the game, making it look like a very easy target.

[jokerahh]

Originally posted by Captain Spaulding:

I don't understand the man's math... they probably need and expect it to do a lot more than 2.5 million copies (man who wrote that doesn't explain his reasoning)... and I don't think it'll move past 2 million copies in the foreseeable future (cumulated sales on all platforms)

You can figure the math out. EA adjusted their target for Q3 by $190 million citing DAV's release, $70 for the base game plus the dulex options 2.5 million copies would add up to around £190 million in revenue. The range is there because they also cited some EA sport stuff so we can't know exactly how much they have target for just DAV but we can estimate that the target by the end of quarter is between 2 and 2.5 million.