Sales numbers estimation by steam reviews

[mP3+Z]

the steam reviews-sales ratio is 1:30~50*, mostly is 35.
current reviews are about 19,500
19,500 * 35 = 682,500

The PC Console share on 2023/24 is 1:1.1~1.5*, I take the average number which is 1:1.3
682,500 + 682,500*1.3 = 1,569,750

1,569,750 copies sold.

it's the estimation for the first 10 days on its Sales numbers.

Can the game break even? Yep, I think it will, but may takes many years.



*the articles about reviews-sales ratio and PC Console share can be found by google search.

[mP3+Z]

The reviews are 500 more than I expect so I make a quick update.

[Khergit Horse Archer]

the steam reviews-sales ratio is 1:30~50*, mostly is 35. <--

wat samples did u took from as reference tho? i think thats like extrapolation on top of extrapolation cuz samples could be based on solo platform release, multiplatform release, late release etc

[mP3+Z]

@Khergit Horse Archer *the articles about reviews-sales ratio and PC Console share can be found by google search.

[WoJo ©]

Originally posted by mP3+Z:

the steam reviews-sales ratio is 1:30~50*, mostly is 35.
current reviews are about 19,500
19,500 * 35 = 682,500

The review-sale ration highly depends on how controversial the game is. This one is extremely controversial so 1:35 is just as likely as 1:10. You also have to account for returns.

Originally posted by mP3+Z:

The PC Console share on 2023/24 is 1:1.1~1.5*, I take the average number which is 1:1.3
682,500 + 682,500*1.3 = 1,569,750

This is highly unlikely. Dragon Age is historically not a well selling console game, and, additionally, console sales (overall) went far behind PC sales in recent years. My personal estimate would be 1:0.2--1:0.8 (likely on the lower end).

[Khergit Horse Archer]

Originally posted by mP3+Z:

@Khergit Horse Archer *the articles about reviews-sales ratio and PC Console share can be found by google search.

its not going to persuade anyone to listen to u if u dont put your references and sources

and im too lazy to do it on my own ;p

[Uncle Buck]

Originally posted by Khergit Horse Archer:

Originally posted by mP3+Z:

@Khergit Horse Archer *the articles about reviews-sales ratio and PC Console share can be found by google search.

its not going to persuade anyone to listen to u if u dont put your references and sources

and im too lazy to do it on my own ;p

Thank-you for admitting that you're just here to sh1t post.

[Khergit Horse Archer]

Originally posted by Thirsty Giuseppe:

Originally posted by Khergit Horse Archer:

its not going to persuade anyone to listen to u if u dont put your references and sources

and im too lazy to do it on my own ;p

Thank-you for admitting that you're just here to sh1t post.

wat ive been to several of these posts and i do substantiate when i actually engage

https://steamcommunity.com/app/1845910/discussions/0/4630357311925325581/

u can read that entire thing if u want but im lazzzzzzzy

[[SiN]Rabbit]

Originally posted by 50 Shades of Gandalf the Grey:

By the time a game 'makes up' the $250m or so deficit it has caused

Some dummy invents a number and then you lot never let it go, it's funny.

[Uncle Buck]

Originally posted by SiNRabbit:

Originally posted by 50 Shades of Gandalf the Grey:

By the time a game 'makes up' the $250m or so deficit it has caused

Some dummy invents a number and then you lot never let it go, it's funny.

He's actually being very generous, the most accurate estimate I've seen suggested somewhere between $250-450 million. Which puts the break even point somewhere around 10.7 million copies sold.

The current estimate in sales is around 500,000 units.

This information of course is available with a cursory google search, which you would know if you were actually interested in any meaningful discourse.

[[SiN]Rabbit]

Originally posted by Thirsty Giuseppe:

Originally posted by SiNRabbit:

Some dummy invents a number and then you lot never let it go, it's funny.

He's actually being very generous, the most accurate estimate I've seen suggested somewhere between $250-450 million. Which puts the break even point somewhere around 10.7 million copies sold.

The current estimate in sales is around 500,000 units.

This information of course is available with a cursory google search, which you would know if you where interested in any meaningful discourse.

If I was interested in meaningful discourse, I would have blocked you. I'm interested in crushing the lies.

[Uncle Buck]

Originally posted by SiNRabbit:

Originally posted by Thirsty Giuseppe:

He's actually being very generous, the most accurate estimate I've seen suggested somewhere between $250-450 million. Which puts the break even point somewhere around 10.7 million copies sold.

The current estimate in sales is around 500,000 units.

This information of course is available with a cursory google search, which you would know if you where interested in any meaningful discourse.

If I was interested in meaningful discourse, I would have blocked you. I'm interested in crushing the lies.

Right, That's why you're ignoring all facts and figures presented and repeating your script over and over and over and over again.

[[SiN]Rabbit]

Originally posted by Thirsty Giuseppe:

Originally posted by SiNRabbit:

If I was interested in meaningful discourse, I would have blocked you. I'm interested in crushing the lies.

Right, That's why you're ignoring all facts and figures presented and repeating your script over and over and over and over again.

No facts have been presented, the figures can therefore be discarded.

[WOKEGOD]

EA don't go brag about sale numbers like they did thrice with pre-order already loomed a dark future this game facing.

[Jeff4u]

Dragon Dogma 2 has 3M sales and has double the peak players. So, it is reasonable for this to reach 1.5M. However, even 1.5M is a big failure. This probably needs 5M to breakeven.

This is just 1/10 of BG3 and doing business is not just breakeven. Bioware already has 3 failures and last success is 10 years ago. Tbh, it is no point to cont this studio as it just not sell anymore.

[HolyGrail]

7/10 is IGN speak for a terrible game..