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https://sailwind.fandom.com/wiki/Trade_winds
For my wind problem, perhaps i was in the "overlap region"...
in Emerald wind there are prevailing and counter-prevailing phases, while in Aestrin the RNG range is so great the prevailing direction means next to nothing.
again, the best payouts are generally upwind, so if you're just taking contracts/ trades blindly, you're always going to be going against the prevailing wind.
knowing the prevailing winds, i pick the profitable things that are /downwind/ instead. not as big a profit margin, but profitable all the same.
there's only a sixth of the circuit, or less, that is against the prevailing wind.
Full disclosure, haven't played since the update but I have noticed many times in the past that (a) the high and highest wind strengths can be quite variable especially if (b) there's a storm system passing nearby, perhaps outside of render distance but near enough. Changing course might bring the storm over the horizon or your course is already mostly away from it, and the wind will tend back to prevailing afterwards.
I also wonder if the fact that my save is very old could be a cause of malfunction...