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The Brig simply won't make an urgent (1/3 normal time limit) mission upwind. You need to record the prevailing wind and make sure it's in your favor, and pray that you don't encounter the exception.
https://steamcommunity.com/app/1764530/discussions/0/3194742149932235073/
i've seen a few other users report the same, but there are also outliers reporting prevailing winds from the west, as well.
edit: wrong copy/paste for the url
Edit, also the area between the new island and the rest of the world. Wind is constantly from the west/ south west.
it may be that prevailing winds are generated on a user by user basis.
but yes, my original statement stands because you are reporting winds from the west. you may just be an outlier.
It boils down to a kind of clockwise tradewind situation. Going from Emerald archipelago to al'ank will have favourable wind, so will going from al'ank to aestrin. However, Aestrin to emerald isles is not so favourable, as the wind is the same that blows from the south-west. Keep in mind that this is just a *percentage modifier* on the wind, and wind can and will still randomly change even with this prevalence (especially in the northern side of the map)