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The way I see it is that the civilisation collapsed under the weight of it's own success. You notice how crazily inefficient the machinery in this world is? The world is littered with the remains of various machines that take a vast amount of fuel for even basic moment. It seems fitting that the majority of the population was unable or unwilling to change their ways which resulted in the destruction of the worlds ability to sustain them. Much like the industrial revolution of our own history would have if we hadn't changed. In both these games the world itself is hazardous to life. Earth quakes, volcanos, droughts in some places, floods in others. Hail strong enough to destroy machinery, thunder and lightning that creates fires and thats ignoring the apparently polluted water in the first game.
The ancient people either lived before the revolution and predicted it would come, or they lived during it and failed to prevent the damage it did. It's likely that the people currently alive in the world don't know who these ancient people are or when they lived.
It's plausible, but playing through it again, I'm noticing something someone else mentioned - the barrier you cross after that city you raise from the deep. This is a huge fortification with gigantic weaponry.
As you get to the ice, something looking like carriers in the distance. Signs of war abound, if you look for them. Everything broken, destroyed. There's hints of a cataclysmic war. It may well have been caused by rempant industrialism and the exhaustion of resources you observe, but still, there's a lot pointing towards conflict as at least A key factor. There is a huge wall at some point... it COULD be that it had been used not to keep enemies out, but water, - damming up the water to have more dry land, and when it broke, that caused the flooding we see.
It's fun to speculate about. :)
Either way I gotta agree it's very fun to speculate about.