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Like basic coin flip. Even tho, you have 50% chance, you can get one side 10 times in a row. Does it mean 50% chance is false, no.
Did you never notice that the amount of candy corn you get is not the same as the amount of +50 luck and that's also different from the amount of +100 luck you get, even though all 3 are listed in the common category? I always thought that's it's rather obvious that they do not have equal weight.
Btw, if you're interested in the actual weighting, on the wiki they usually try to do some research regarding this:
https://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/Trick-or-Treat_Bag/research/2019-2021
250k was a large enough sample size.
Exactly, nowhere does it say they have equal drop chance, those are just brackets of chance to give a general idea. I'd say that in order to "deceive" you, they'd have to tell you something that's wrong, and they don't. Both items are indeed rare, especially in comparison to the common and uncommon items, so the information they give you is correct.