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Second, a tip from me to you: do NOT use blood/hungry groves when farming for it. The roots will eat the enemies and prevent extra spawns (like bats from vampires, ghosts from enemies, etc) and that will dramatically reduce your chances of getting it.
Also note, from what I can gather, every enemy fought past 4 has a set chance to drop. Say it's 20% on the second level expedition. If you fight 6 enemies, it would be 20% for 1, then another 20% chance for another. If you fight 7 enemies, you get another 20% chance. This is really the secret to getting them to drop consistently and sometimes in multiples.
Good luck!
Reset your expedition until you get your camp on a straight-away. Place a vampire mansion above your camp, then two spider nests next to the mansion. Place a swamp on the road where the spiders will spawn. This will give each loop 2 chances to fight 6 total enemies, and the swamps destroy the vampires. Add crossbowmen, if you have them, and it makes the fight very easy. You can bring home a good 10 or more per run with this
OP, to put it short, the expands drop from any battle that has 4 or more enemies. The following setup rapidly maxes them out for me each expedition, usually around loop 7-9: