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I was kinda hoping for the transformation angle myself, but his attitude gave it away. If they wrote the dialogue with a bit more nuance I think it would work better.
It feels like there is more to the story at first, and the ending we got seems like the most obvious one. So much so it was a wrong thing to do
Even during the first chapter the responses give those vibes, so it’s like, it’s not really a twist, you just naturally assume it’s the most likely outcome.
Maybe if he knew more about her. Maybe if he was more creepy when he talked to the little girl about her mother. I might have thought this was a good twist. But man its just like wow.
Everyone calls him trash and a horrible person. And turns out they were right he is trash and a horrible person. The redemption was just one giant lie.
I never like looking at the characters who are massive ♥♥♥♥♥. And saying "wow they were right to be a prick"
Just dose not feel right.
There was definitely awkwardness to him which girl comments on which is a big give away
combine this with all the other red herrings. Like the strange sand at the mine. The talk about the area being cursed. Hell even the park ranger who may or may not have existed. Hell even her backstory was interesting. That said not even sure if any of this was true at this point.
The whole thing could have been a red herring. Not even sure she even had a kid. So it could have just been a mentally damaged man going crazy. Or something supernatural or he could be dead in a ditch. Who knows at this point, regardless it didn't feel satisfying.
Graham doesn't mention the daughter once in chapters 5 & 6 (not even to the mother) and it's clear from the pictures he's taken and the note in his diary that he's been stalking the mother for a while and is gearing up to make a move. That's his motivation for seeking Ava out, not the daughter (who he hasn't met yet).
In chapters 1-4 it is possible that he doesn't remember killing the kid's mother, or he even disassociated and believed that the wolves did it. The emotional trauma of his abusive mother and the blackouts (possibly caused by the toxins in the water that the researchers were testing for), mean he's not in the best of mental states.
I thought it was very cleverly structured and it made for a very impactful ending. If chapter 4 is the end then saving the daughter acts as some form of redemption for Graham, but he still has his demons (the wolves are still following him). Also, the fact that one of his last interactions with the kid at the end of Chapter 4 is to wipe away her tears with a cloth torn from her dead mother's dress is pretty brutal.
That and lets be honest if the guy just wanted to talk to her. He could have kinda did it without needing to break into a secured facility. Its kinda really not that necessary to see her when you think about it. Least outside to confirm if she died or not.
So it really makes no sense that he would go to all this trouble to just visit her house. Also makes no sense with what happened to his camera. remember his original reason for being out their was to photograph nature. And clearly the guy dose do that quite often. so real question is, what happened to the camera.. if the whole, i lost it while being attacked by wolves thing was a lie.
All he says at the start of Chapter 5 is "okay, I'll find her. I have to". There's no mention of why he feels the need to and no mention of the kid at all. There are deliberately no narrative threads that put chapter 5 chronologically after 4. The only reason we initially think it takes place after 4 is because it's placed there in the game. Even the inventory totally empties by the end of chapter 4.
If you rearrange the chapters into chronological order it's much more likely that the urgency is just because he's obsessed with her. If you re-read the diary in his house, it's clear that he's unravelling and getting more desperate because he feels so alone, and the "But something gives me hope, maybe I can still find light in this place, I'll try again tomorrow" is him planning to meet up with the mother, who he mistakenly thinks is his soulmate and will save him from his loneliness and madness.
The photography excuse is definitely just a lie he tells the kid as an excuse for him being in the woods. I guess that means he does remember killing the mother.
I could be totally wrong, but the fact that the game doesn't spell everything out for you and leaves things up to debate is a big factor in why I loved the story so much. I get that you were disappointed the game wasn't actually about "Mutated Wolf monsters and an evil bad cooperation", but there are hundreds of games like that. This delivered a unique, touching and thought-provoking experience about the horrors humans are capable of.
Edit: I'd highly recommend checking out the last document in the Extras section after you complete the game, there's pretty damning evidence that Graham new what he did.
Some even advertise that as a selling point.
Could he also have killed the Lighthouse keeper earlier? You could interpit it as the lighhouse have been abandoned for some time with the wine being in the water for a long time and the Siren scientists not having the keeper on the list of people allowed to go through. Though he says he only visits 2 times a week and the lighthouse starts in the end, but that could be automatic.
The grounds keeper was probably just a hallucination, due to the headache, but there is always the chance of Graham offing him due to no real evidence. He does mention the Lighthouse keeper being at the lighthouse in chapter 6 though due to the lighthouse being on. But at the same time it is automated.
And yes, I do agree with the theory that chapter 5/6 take place before 1-4. That seems like a more logical option to me than a time loop.