Trade War

[coolio]

What triggers this? Lost all my stock money and government budget never recovered, although it did seem to preempt market crash and make the game not care that at some points I was down to -8 budget.

[Keaton]

Never had that one, so I assume it is different from closing relations with Arcadia and Contana that hurts a lot.

I did find this:
A major naval confrontation between United Contana and Arcasia at the Gulf of Rika caused a global trade disruption. The gulf where half of the global trade flows through was blocked. Following the event Arcasia imposed considerable tariffs on CSP goods which triggered a temporary trade embargo on all Arcasian goods from the CSP. The massive financial impact was felt all around the world.

Government Budget -3, Economical Development -1

https://www.neoseeker.com/suzerain/guides/Decision_Prompts_Guide_and_List#Superpower_Trade_War

Trigger is (according to website)

This event seems to happen if a Black Tuesday wasn't activated: we don't know for certain if it's set to happen, or there's a chance it doesn't, though.

Though I didn't get this while I avoided a black Tuesday but I do was in debt (-2)
However, with the recent updates the criteria may have changed for the triggers.

[Anri]

It seems, that in order to avoid it one needs budget not lower than -2. On -3 Trade War happens, on -4 and lower Black Tuesday.

[Abba's Corn Adventure]

Trade War happens when you have 3 budget at turn 4

[admiralbiatch2]

I had my budget at -4 expecting Black Tuesday in order to specifically avoid the trade war and it still happened. What I'm wondering though is does investing for 3000 of the Arcasian company stock prompt this as well since that's the commonality in all my games even when I made different decisions.

[Lцċįἀǹ º¹]

I got it as a wealthy right wing arcasian capitalist president start. Before it happened, I had invested all my personal wealth into the shares. Perhaps it's to offset the extra personal cash you start with when picking wealthy family?