How many times would I have to save scum to avoid an assassination attempt with a 95% percent chance to succeed?

[White-Tip]

Hypothetically speaking

[Razorblade]

Assination success/failure is locked in a few months ahead of time, so save scumming such high odds is quite impractical. You'd have to play the last year over and over, and that's if you even have a save that far back.

[Azoniar]

Originally posted by Razorblade:

Assination success/failure is locked in a few months ahead of time, so save scumming such high odds is quite impractical. You'd have to play the last year over and over, and that's if you even have a save that far back.

This.

[White-Tip]

Originally posted by Razorblade:

Assination success/failure is locked in a few months ahead of time, so save scumming such high odds is quite impractical. You'd have to play the last year over and over, and that's if you even have a save that far back.

Ah, shucks...

[Dante_Deepdarkness]

From what I read (in steam forums nonetheless), all the event results are decided before the last moment. It is not always the same time, but always prior to the final of the event (child genre at birth, assassination and any other thing RNG-related).

[UnnamedKiller]

Go debug mode find the culprit. Usual his rival. Use the culprit then stop it. Then go back to your char use it.

[Xanthiras]

At least when organizing an assassination, the results are definitely not locked months in advance, generally if you haven't got the prompt for the actual attempt yet, then you can reload for a different result.

[spasti696969]

If the window has already popped up and you saved, it's too late. The game pre-rolls things like that to try to minimize save-scumming. Personally it kind of bothers me knowing my fate has already been written and I'm essentially just guessing, a "Lady and the Tiger" kind of deal.

Hmm... but then again, is it not similar in games like Poker? The unknown card on the top of the deck never changes during betting.

[spasti696969]

Originally posted by UnnamedKiller:

Go debug mode find the culprit. Usual his rival. Use the culprit then stop it. Then go back to your char use it.

This would be like getting checkmated in Chess, moving a few pieces around, and continuing to play.

[ZenAgain]

Sorry if asinine here but I just want to mention that: If the success chance against the player is 95% for a murder scheme then one or more characters with important court positions are agents in the plot. Identifying those agents and removing them will have a much higher chance of saving the player compared to endlessly rolling the dice in a vacuum.

[Ashling]

Originally posted by ZenAgain:

Sorry if asinine here but I just want to mention that: If the success chance against the player is 95% for a murder scheme then one or more characters with important court positions are agents in the plot. Identifying those agents and removing them will have a much higher chance of saving the player compared to endlessly rolling the dice in a vacuum.

Yep. Purge your court. Fire your advisors, break up with any lovers or wives, kill your family, release all your vassals, move your capital to a lovely villa in Italy, start a new life under a different name, you can start over, you can live forever.

Some of this advice is more useful than others. If anyone loves you, probably shouldn't kill them unless you really, really want to.

[White-Tip]

Originally posted by Triangle:

move your capital to a lovely villa in Italy,

My current run is in Italy lol

[D34DLY]

or, just play as your heir.