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Also there had to be a first Ellis, which would mean no carver for him. Then it would also mean that the chain could be broken and Ellis could make different choices for another outcome.
I totally get where you going with this but check this out:
The original Ellis. No Carver. No Blair Witch. He goes through a traumatic experience in the woods when he is a kid where he has a slight brush with the Blair Witch. The therapy finds that he is drawn to the forest and is not cured but ultimately gets sent to enlist. He goes through the traumatic hell of war and then comes back home broken. Upon returning he helps the local sheriff. With the enlisted therapy dog Bullet he continues his work until he makes the fatal mistake of shooting an unarmed person. He loses his job, takes Bullet and gives up on life proceeding into the woods where he lives in his makeshift bunker hunting to survive while he slowly descends into madness as the forest takes hold. He "becomes" Carver while he encounters all the creatures of the forest, carves several wood totems, sets up the Blair Witch wards, etc. driving him into insanity. He kills his dog, Peter, the sheriff, the lumberjack and ultimately becomes "owned" by the Blair Witch as a puppet caught in an infinite web he cannot escape from. When the game begins his psyche wants to break the cycle of what he has done. He wants to be the good, pre Carver, Ellis so he arrives in the forest to save Peter. In his mind right now he doesn't know all that he has done. This is also why the Carver ending is canon because it is really what happens to him in real life until he's owned by the Blair Witch loop. No matter how many times he tries to solve it this cannot be undone because they are all already dead. Now he is just caught in an infinite loop of trying to fight his own demons and become something better but it doesn't matter which ending he will get because he's already been dead for a very long time or trapped forever at the whims of the Blair Witch. There's no way out for him. He will keep repeating the loop and go back to the bunker to find out what happened to Peter every time he starts at the beginning again.
I think you lost me. Are you saying theres only one Ellis/Carver and and hes stuck in a mental loop and not a time loop? And that the ellis we play as is already carver and already killed the sheriff, lumberjack, and bullet before the game starts? If so that contradicts the after ending text.
BONUS ENDING: I think this would also be a cool addition if Bloober added their own caviat to the 1996 version of Blair Witch in regards to being stuck in a loop. What if you truly could break the loop forever and free your soul from the Blair Witches grip? For example, if you didn't do what you were supposed to do normally in your loop. That would be getting the "good ending" but doing it just once wouldn't free you from the loop. Let's say you had to do it 4 times and playing the game 4 times in a row with the good ending would finally break your spirit free from the Blair Witch. The final ending would be seeing yourself leave the forest maybe with Bullet or something. That would've been a cool Easter Egg although I don't see anyone going out to complete the same ending multiple times. :)