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The first time i killed Yurgur, the rogue rolled a 20 crit on sneak 56 damage alltogther or so.
Then next in turn is my ranger ...both shots were natural 20 crit. No Yurgur after first round:D
Sadly as i snuck upon him it did not move the quest forward, so i had to redo it. The next time it was the minons of Yurgur who had the following sequence.
19-17-20-20-20-18-19-17-19 good thing those visible wore adamantine stuff:)
Even so Laezal barely survived as they needed 17 to hit her:P
it amuses me that the default on option for karmic thats supposed to average out your rolls also makes breaks save scumming because it always rolls the same thing again on a re-load lol
Still, there's over 800k players every day. Dice are being rolled millions of times per day. Surely we'd have tons of comments about the dice being loaded if this were the case. Sometimes you just can't please the RNG gods. Granted, true RNG is impossible to simulate even today. Table top, I've been known to have days where I roll ones multiple times in a row. Happens.
They seed their RNG through the quantum fluctuations in a beam of light in a dedicated piece of hardware.
Also PCs... game... they can't really be truely RNG (with how computers work and calculation. Try rolling dice in real life when you have to roll in game.. you'll see a difference, especially when the game makes you roll a 1, 2, 1.... -1 somehow (though I didn't have any negative modifiers on me, might have been a glitch.. the game does have those which can sometimes translate over to glitches in dice rolling.
Anyways, yes, this is the probability assuming true random for 4 rolls using 2x 20 sided dice.
There's no reason to talk down to someone who is just convinced something is off just because maybe because of our study curriculum, line of work or what have you we have actually conditioned ourselves to be ever slightly less awful at those skills. Awareness of the biases helps and knowing how to properly do the math helps but it doesn't change that we all come from the same place of having no natural skill whatsoever at dealing with it and can barely improve said natural skill, nor the fact that statistics are harder not to utterly botch than most realize.