is Steam Spy trustworthy?

[jackar4444]

I wonder how many BG 3 been sold so googled and this site says users between 10 million and 20 million users own the game in steam.

[アンジェル]

Originally posted by jackar4444:

is Steam Spy trustworthy?
I wonder how many BG 3 been sold so googled and this site says users between 10 million and 20 million users own the game in steam.

How can you not trust something which has Spy in it?

[homekeys]

Originally posted by jackar4444:

I wonder how many BG 3 been sold so googled and this site says users between 10 million and 20 million users own the game in steam.

doesnt account for those of us who got it off gog tho. definitely not as many as steam but even if its a fraction, the amnt of users getting it off gog has gotta be huge

[Caldrin]

There is a big difference between 10 and 20 million sounds like a guess on their part..

I don't even think steam make that data available via their API so it must be a guess.

[DyD&Marina]

Originally posted by jackar4444:

I wonder how many BG 3 been sold so googled and this site says users between 10 million and 20 million users own the game in steam.

Any site like steamspy, do estimations about game sales, trought algorithm and similar.

No one of this site have any real information about it.

So no they can't be trusted.

[Dorok]

Originally posted by Mugen Majimq:

hard to say Larian says 2.6 million+
VGinsights has 5 million+
https://vginsights.com/game/1086940

Larian quotes are highly suspicious, Bethesda also tried a time not push forward the amount of sells when they started be huge with Oblivion (crap game very disappointing after Morrowind).

2.6M is hardly believable even for EA.It would mean an incredible statistic that for some mysterious reason, during EA 2.5 time more players make a review for the game than for other games. When it's about big numbers like 3 to 6M of player base it's hard believe it's a so unique set of people.

Second clue, even when there was price cuts of big games they failed remove BG3 from top 1 sells in Steam.

So if the 20M seems too soon, at reverse close to 10M seems quite clear.

And then past price cuts, it's true that there no direct concurrent for Steam top sells since BG3 release. If Starfield is slod constant in top 10 since few weeks, it's obviously very far from some pre sell as Cyberpunk or few others. So for sure the top 1 in Steam sells and current context doesn't mean that much.

[gyor]

Originally posted by Dorok:

Originally posted by Mugen Majimq:

hard to say Larian says 2.6 million+
VGinsights has 5 million+
https://vginsights.com/game/1086940

Larian quotes are highly suspicious, Bethesda also tried a time not push forward the amount of sells when they started be huge with Oblivion (crap game very disappointing after Morrowind).

2.6M is hardly believable even for EA.It would mean an incredible statistic that for some mysterious reason, during EA 2.5 time more players make a review for the game than for other games. When it's about big numbers like 3 to 6M of player base it's hard believe it's a so unique set of people.

Second clue, even when there was price cuts of big games they failed remove BG3 from top 1 sells in Steam.

So if the 20M seems too soon, at reverse close to 10M seems quite clear.

And then past price cuts, it's true that there no direct concurrent for Steam top sells since BG3 release. If Starfield is slod constant in top 10 since few weeks, it's obviously very far from some pre sell as Cyberpunk or few others. So for sure the top 1 in Steam sells and current context doesn't mean that much.

Steamspy is now at 20 to 50 million games sold for BG3 now, so 20 million is the absolute floor for BG3.

Also remember Hasbro CEO said BG3 earned more money for Hasbro then the last 5-10 years of Hasbro Theatrical releases, including 4 Transformer movies, multiple GI Joe movies, 2 Ouji movies, Gem and the Holograms, a Power Rangers movie, and a D&D movie (the good one).

No way that happens without BG3 making over a billion.

[Rommel]

Baldur's Gate 3 - Steam Stats 8/30/2023
Providing Steam statistics and charts - revenue estimates, pricing and other stats on Baldur's Gate 3.

Quick stats as of today
470k
active players (63 min ago)
504k
active players (24h peak)
95.2%
positive reviews
$375.1m
gross revenue
7.9m
units sold
73.7 hours
avg play time
44.8 hours
median play time

Remember this is just for steam. The site is"VG Insights"

[Ultraviper]

only steam and larian know for sure, everything else is just a guess

[Recjawjind]

Originally posted by Ultraviper:

only steam and larian know for sure, everything else is just a guess

And hasbro/WotC I suppose. And they said this game made them assloads of money.

[MrSoul]

It does best it can with what data sources it can pull from.

Read disclaimers on their site, it explains what discrepancies and limits their data set has. It is essentially tho the best we have for any kind of quick, publicly available info beyond pouring through companies financial releases which only do once a quarter, if even that.

[Gregorovitch]

Steam Spy was pretty accurate for years until Steam changed it's policy to make profiles private by default a few years back. Since then it has been hopelessly inaccurate and is basically just guess work.

It's a great pity because Steam Spy was extremely informative but unfortunately people could not be bothered to make their profiles public. If everybody did Steam Spy would be back in business and we'd all know pretty much exactly how many copies games had sold.

Knowing that information gives players power - which is why Steam implemented the policy change. But players don't realise that and won't do what is necessary to get that power back (which literally just amounts to clicking a tick box on your profile).

[Gregorovitch]

Originally posted by Rommel:

Baldur's Gate 3 - Steam Stats 8/30/2023
Providing Steam statistics and charts - revenue estimates, pricing and other stats on Baldur's Gate 3.

Quick stats as of today
470k
active players (63 min ago)
504k
active players (24h peak)
95.2%
positive reviews
$375.1m
gross revenue
7.9m
units sold
73.7 hours
avg play time
44.8 hours
median play time

Remember this is just for steam. The site is"VG Insights"

This is probably a pretty good guess but it is just a guess.

[kingsims]

The only way to figure out BG3 sales, is to look at Hasbro investor data (They are publicly traded so they will release their revune data to SEC).