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Connie and Qatif, 1980

In 1979, Saudi Arabia was rocked by civil unrest in the coastal region of Qatif. Historically, the protests were violently put down by the Saudi government and the region was under government control by the end of the year.
This scenario assumes that the 1979 protests triggered more widespread unrest, which by the Spring of 1980 had turned into open rebellion against the House of Saud. An additional complication is that the rebels have much in common ideologically with the revolutionary leaders in Iran; Iran is believed to be providing the rebels with military aid.
Scenario author: Mark Gellis