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Are you serious? I unboxed mine i had no idea!
Heres a link to it. http://www.trade.tf/crates#!bulk
Right now it recommends #42, a somewhat gambling crate that has headshot kills and 2 other counters worth over a key, but as a downside it also has a couple items only worth 0.33 ref and the average worth of the items you'll get is around half a key..
There's also #28, a more consistent crate which has engineer shotguns and wrenches and hats. The strange shotgun is worth 1.4 keys, the stranges around 3.00-1.66, and the hats at 1.33-1.66 so if you get unlucky, you won't lose as much.