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Buds will still be more valuable than Tux.
Tux won't be worth that much.
It's silly to speculate on how much they're worth, but I'm fairly sure that Buds will be worth more, and not because of their rarity; Buds are essentially an established currency, specifically for high value items. While they may be rare, the value they hold is partially due to how every trader acknowledges the value they theoretically hold, not solely due to rarity, but due to how every trader is willing to accept them as currency for items, while this is not the case for other items.
If the Tux is both acknowledged as a currency by the vast majority of traders and has more rarity, it may be worth more than Buds, but this is a prospect that will only be verified by time, rather than speculation.
Of course, greedy people will try to exploit the statistics of each item to make profit.
This isn't new to be honest, this happened to the Robot Chicken.
The only part that needs to be discussed is the fact there won't be anymore after that (can't get one by crafting). So it may starts very low and much later uprising the price.
But i'd rather give up on how the trading community will decide. So much to talk and yet.. thinking about a new currency is a little terrible. Of course, anything to implode the current market.
HOW ABOUT A DISCUSSION THATS NOT ABOUT TUX PENGUINS :D
stop throwing your simplistic math around
well, it also looks identical to the companion cube pin of which there are more than almost any other misc item