Rogue Legacy > General Discussion > Topic Details
Rapscallion, The Arcane Aug 2, 2013 @ 4:13pm
cheapskate elf
I'm more than 20 hs in the game, still haven't beat it (i know, I suck). during this many hours I encountered this elf that offers a 1/3 chance to win a price. I found him LOTS of times. I have never won, not even once. statistically speaking I should have won AT LEAST once. so my question is: does that work at all? or is it a scam? if it DOES work, are the chances of winning WAY below what it should be? I know that doesn't make sense, if there are 3 chests and only 1 has a price the chances are 1 in 3, or 33%, whatever, but maybe there's a catch, like, even if he says there is a price, there isn't most of the time. I don't know, this has me very confused.

PS: sorry, english is not my native language.
Showing 1-15 of 34 comments
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a hedgehog Aug 2, 2013 @ 4:22pm 
You can win - I have won many times. There is no secret or catch, it is just luck.
Rapscallion, The Arcane Aug 2, 2013 @ 4:29pm 
thanks for the response! so I guess I'm extremely unlucky =( because I should have won at least once. now that I now that it works I won't be skipping it, because that's what I started doing recently, when I started suspecting that it was some sort of scam.
carlmckie Aug 2, 2013 @ 5:36pm 
I won on my first try :)
Tripoteur Ventripotent Aug 2, 2013 @ 6:13pm 
I lost on my 2 or 3 first attempts, so I had my doubts too. But I kept trying and eventually won.

Apparently a Spelunker's helm light can tell you which chest is the right one with 100% accuracy. Never tried it though.
Rapscallion, The Arcane Aug 2, 2013 @ 7:57pm 
wow, you blew my mind with that. it never ocurred to me. I wanna try the spelunker to see if that works. too bad that I hate the spelunker -.-
Infamous Aug 3, 2013 @ 12:14am 
Lol that's what it does? didn't know the light did anything but drain mana, anyway i'm in newgame+ now so I can't go spelunker or I die way fast
Terwox Aug 3, 2013 @ 1:49am 
Statistically speaking, someone is bound to be in your situation. It happens to be you. :)
Puodinpitäjä ^nohands Aug 5, 2013 @ 1:49pm 
I've found out that when you come across an elf in the castle part, it's always the chest that is closest to the elf. Works for me. Don't know about the other places.
Rapscallion, The Arcane Aug 5, 2013 @ 2:58pm 
mmm thanks, i will try that, it's more feasible for me than to use the spelunker.
Elrieve Aug 5, 2013 @ 3:51pm 
Originally posted by Terwox:
Statistically speaking, someone is bound to be in your situation. It happens to be you. :)
The tail of that exponential distribution is a sad, lonely place.
Deign Aug 6, 2013 @ 7:47am 
Originally posted by Elrieve:
Originally posted by Terwox:
Statistically speaking, someone is bound to be in your situation. It happens to be you. :)
The tail of that exponential distribution is a sad, lonely place.
Not if you're on the one for winning :)
I've won more times than I've lost, not by much, but enough to make me a happy man
otacon Aug 6, 2013 @ 8:51am 
It took me eight or nine times before i hit his jackpot for the first time.
eviltwin61878 Aug 6, 2013 @ 11:45pm 
it's winnable but i always ignore him, it's not worth it.
I find that in video games 33% chance is almost guaranteed failure.
most video games that use % mechanics it seems like you have to have 90% to consistently succeed.
I heard that the spelunkette can cheat but I never tried it
Deign Aug 7, 2013 @ 10:51pm 
Originally posted by eviltwin61878:
it's winnable but i always ignore him, it's not worth it.
I find that in video games 33% chance is almost guaranteed failure.
most video games that use % mechanics it seems like you have to have 90% to consistently succeed.
I heard that the spelunkette can cheat but I never tried it
Mathematically speaking, it is always worth it. The triple your investment simply breaks even over many attempts, but as soon as you have any gold modifier, you gain more than you'll ever lose.
Sucrilhus Aug 9, 2013 @ 7:38am 
Originally posted by Deign:
Originally posted by eviltwin61878:
it's winnable but i always ignore him, it's not worth it.
I find that in video games 33% chance is almost guaranteed failure.
most video games that use % mechanics it seems like you have to have 90% to consistently succeed.
I heard that the spelunkette can cheat but I never tried it
Mathematically speaking, it is always worth it.

Exactly, I couldn't agree more....

I always accept, no matter what... and just reach for the very first chest everytime.

I've won I few times.
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Date Posted: Aug 2, 2013 @ 4:13pm
Posts: 34